Research State Kernel

Answers "where is this specific piece of work right now" as a callable function — one of 8 real stages, with a stated reason, instead of a judgment call living only in conversation.

PurposeClassify a work item's real stage from real signals (evidence fraction, contradictions, verification/replication/validation status), plus recommend one concrete next action.

StatusVerified — executed against 3 real situations from this lab's own work, all 3 classified correctly

Built fromNamed as the highest-value missing piece by two independent external reviews

Depends onObservation Kernels (for real, non-hand-typed inputs)

Superseded by—

EvidenceReal execution output, this page, run 2026-07-15.

The 8 real stages

Stage	Meaning
Blocked	A missing prerequisite exists — nothing else matters until it resolves
Investigate	Unresolved contradictions present — evidence can't be trusted yet
Domain Learning	Evidence fraction below 0.3 — still building substrate
Ready for Toy Model	Real substrate exists, nothing run yet
Needs Real Data	Mechanism verified once, likely on synthetic/toy data
Needs Replication	One real result exists, not independently reproduced
Ready for Validation	Replicated, no contradictions — needs forward-walk/held-out testing
Production	Validated, replicated, no known contradictions

Real execution output — 3 real cases from this lab's own work

=== Test 1: the execution kernel's tensor-integration gap ===
{'stage': 'Needs Real Data',
 'reason': "Mechanism verified once, likely on synthetic/toy data -- real data hasn't been tried."}
{'recommended_action': "Find or acquire real (non-synthetic) data for 'real tensor /
  execution kernel integration' -- the mechanism is verified, the data isn't."}

=== Test 2: the three-framework psychology integration ===
{'stage': 'Needs Replication',
 'reason': "One real result exists. Not yet independently reproduced -- the exact gap
  Fix 5's follow-up found the hard way."}
{'recommended_action': "Independently reproduce the single existing result before
  trusting it further."}

=== Test 3: the closed laundering vulnerability (should be Production) ===
{'stage': 'Production', 'reason': 'Validated, replicated, no known contradictions.'}
{'recommended_action': "'value-laundering fix (Claim 1)' is validated and in use.
  No action needed unless new evidence surfaces."}

Test 3 is the real check on this kernel itself: fed the laundering fix's actual verification history, it correctly landed on Production without being told the answer in advance — the same result a person would reach reading the Laundering Vulnerability page directly.

Test 2's subject (three-framework psychology integration) references the same real HiTOP/FFM-PID5/PPM kernels documented on the Infrastructure page — structural implementations of published clinical frameworks, not original claims.